Preakness Stakes analysis
A look at the Preakness field, in post position order with morning line odds:
1. Aikenite (20-1)
Pedigree: By Yes It’s True, out of Silverlado, by Saint Ballado
Lifetime record: 8-1-2-2. Most recently, second in the Derby Trial on April 24.
Pros: Twice stakes placed this year, finishing third behind standouts Eskendereya and Jackson Bend in the Fountain of Youth back in February.
Cons: Winless this year and his only career victory came in his debut at Saratoga last August.
Connections: Javier Castellano won the 2006 Preakness aboard Bernardini. Todd Pletcher won his first Derby this year and is now looking for his first Preakness; of course he also saddles Derby winner Super Saver today. Owner Cot Campbell’s Dogwood Stables won the 1990 Preakness with Summer Squall.
2. Schoolyard Dreams (15-1)
Pedigree: Stephen Got Even x Hear This, by Prospector’s Music
Lifetime record: 6-2-2-1. Fourth in the Wood Memorial on April 3.
Pros: Has knocked heads
with solid company all spring and was actually ahead of Derby winner Super Saver while placing second in the Tampa Bay Derby in March.
Cons: Only career wins were in a maiden at Philadelphia and in an allowance optional claimer at Tampa against inferior competition.
Connections: Co-owner Tony Mitola is a Troy native and current Saratoga resident. Derek Ryan, who saddled Musket Man to a third place finish in last year’s Preakness, gives Eibar Coa a leg up.
3. Pleasant Prince (20-1)
Pedigree: Indy King x Archduchess, by Pleasant Tap
Lifetime record: 9-1-2-2. Third in the Derby Trial on April 24.
Pros: Finished second in the Florida Derby, just getting caught at the wire.
Cons: Has run six times already this year without a win and this will be his third start in the last five weeks.
Connections: Wesley Ward trainee retains the services of Eclipse Award winner Julien Leparoux in the saddle.
4. Northern Giant (30-1)
Pedigree: Giant’s Causeway x Jessi Take Charge, by War Chant
Lifetime record: 9-1-2-2. Ninth in the Arkansas Derby on April 10.
Pros: Fairly consistent colt has been on the board in four of five starts this year, breaking his maiden in February and then finishing third in the Risen Star and second in the Lane’s End.
Cons: Turned in a career-worst effort last time out against the best field he’s faced.
Connections: Hall of Famer Wayne Lukas is seeking his sixth Preakness victory and saddles two horses in this edition. Terry Thompson picks up the mount.
5. Yawanna Twist (30-1)
Pedigree: Yonaguska x Twist and Pop, by Oliver’s Twist
Lifetime record: 4-2-2-0. Second in the Illinois Derby on April 3.
Pros: New York-bred colt hasn’t been worse than second in just four lifetime starts.
Cons: Finished second his last two outings behind Awesome Act and American Lion, both of whom finished well up the track in the Kentucky Derby.
Connections: Rick Dutrow, who won the Preakness two years ago with Big Brown, gives a leg up to Hall of Famer Edgar Prado.
6. Jackson Bend (12-1)
Pedigree: Hear No Evil x Sexy Stockings, by Tabasco Cat
Lifetime record: 10-5-4-0. Twelfth in the Kentucky Derby on May 1.
Pros: Smallish colt is as tough as they come and has been first or second in nine of his 10 lifetime starts.
Cons: Turned in a career-worst effort in the Derby last time out.
Connections: Hall of Famer Nick Zito gives a leg up to a fellow Hall member Mike Smith.
7. Lookin at Lucky (3-1)
Pedigree: Smart Strike x Private Feeling, by Belong To Me
Lifetime record: 9-6-1-1. Sixth in the Kentucky Derby on May 1.
Pros: Lost all chance when jostled early breaking from the rail in the Derby, yet still finished a credible sixth. Still has plenty of room to improve after getting three troubled trips in a row; a rider change and a more favorable draw today could make a difference.
Cons: Although he can be forgiven for the debacle in the Derby’s 20-horse field, he may be one of those horses with a tendency to find trouble, since he’s also done so in much smaller fields.
Connections: Martin Garcia, who has been riding well for trainer Bob Baffert on the West Coast, picks up the mount. Baffert is looking for his fifth Preakness; he and owner Mike Pegram took the race in 1998 with Real Quiet.
8. Super Saver (5-2)
Pedigree: Maria’s Mon x Supercharger, by AP Indy
Lifetime record: 7-3-2-1. Won the Kentucky Derby on May 1.
Pros: Kentucky Derby winner has thrived in the two weeks since his big victory and is coming into this race is great shape.
His versatility makes him dangerous in this second jewel; proved he could rate and win from just off the pace at the Derby, but running style earlier in his career suggests he could dictate the pace in a field devoid of wicked early speed.
Cons: Has never won back-to-back races.
Connections: WinStar Farm homebred gave Pletcher his first Derby win and jockey Calvin Borel his third Derby in four years. Pletcher is looking for his first Preakness while Borel won the race last year with Rachel Alexandra.
9. Caracortado (10-1)
Pedigree: Cat Dreams x Mons Venus, by Maria’s Mon
Lifetime record: 7-5-0-1. Fourth in the Santa Anita Derby April 3.
Pros: Won the first five starts of his career, including the Robert B. Lewis Stakes. Has shown good tactical speed in past outings.
Cons: Dropped his last two outings against solid competition, although he did get a troubled trip last time out. Will be making his first start outside of California; did win his only start on dirt, but it was against maiden claimers at Fairplex.
Connections: Trainer, co-owner and breeder Mike Machowsky is starting his first horse in the Preakness and giving a leg up to another Triple Crown newcomer, veteran jockey Paul Atkinson.
10. Paddy O’Prado (9-2)
Pedigree: El Prado x Fun House, by Prized
Lifetime record: 7-1-2-3. Third in the Kentucky Derby on May 1.
Pros: Finished a solid third in the Derby, just getting caught late for second. Has been on the board in all four starts this year.
Has the tactical speed to find a solid running position or even lead, if breaking from near the outside doesn’t hinder him.
Cons: His other efforts this year came on turf and synthetic, while he may have been moved up by the muddy track at Churchill Downs.
Connections: Trainer Dale Romans sends out two runners here. Kent Desormeaux is looking for his third Preakness win.
11. First Dude (20-1)
Pedigree: Stephen Got Even x Run Sarah Run, by Smart Strike
Lifetime record: 6-1-3-1. Third in the Blue Grass on April 10.
Pros: Has finished second twice behind Fly Down, a stakes winner last weekend at Belmont. Finished a good third after a bad break in the Blue Grass.
Cons: His stakes placing came on synthetic; he was a soundly beaten fifth in the Florida Derby, 12 lengths behind the winner.
Connections: Romans’ horses break next to each other. NYRA leading rider Ramon Dominguez will be aboard.
12. Dublin (10-1)
Pedigree: Afleet Alex x Classy Mirage, by Storm Bird
Lifetime record: 9-2-1-2. Seventh in the Kentucky Derby on May 1
Pros: Strapping chestnut colt ran well earlier this year without winning, finishing on the board in three tough stakes in Arkansas competing against the likes of Super Saver and Lookin at Lucky.
Cons: Still looking for his first win since the Hopeful on closing day last summer at Saratoga and will have to contend with the outside post here.
Connections: Lukas gives a leg up on his star to Garrett Gomez, one of the nation’s leaders who picked up the mount after being bumped off Lookin at Lucky.
As always, best of luck and safe trip to everyone.